The natural Commercial Real Estate financing cycle has changed. The majority of acquisition loans are not converting to construction loans and pre-sale and pre-leasing requirements are not being met. Construction loans are not performing as planned and for-sale condo units are not closing – requiring longer saturation. Without access to take out financing and long term financing, developers are leaving the banks holding the bag. There are no capital markets to support long term debt. The CMBS market has disappeared. Additionally, a rising rate environment makes fixed-rate, long-term financing risky.
From a lenders perspective, this environment has increased regulatory demands for banks – both internally and externally from their boards and bank regulators. Banks are being forced to increase reserves, hire asset professionals, and legal counsel as more and more commercial loans non-perform. These factors all serve to reduce liquidity and shrink lender's access to capital. Furthermore, banks are not well suited to dispose of assets on a large scale, which will lead to further downward pressure on the price of commercial real estate assets.
From a developer's perspective, conventional commercial stabilization financing is gone. There still exists hedge fund and private money financing, however, the cost of such financing often destroys the economic viability of the project. Developer's have little choice but to sell the project at a discount, or return the project to the bank. Again, placing downward pressure on the price of commercial real estate assets.
Given this environment, how do lenders and developers survive? Banks must maintain liquidity and salvage their asset base. Developers need to get out of their projects and minimize their loss. Currently, there are still too many developers holding on too long, and the banks are ill equipped to liquidate their assets quickly. In this environment, reacting slowly means failure. Whether a lender or developer, bring your asset to market quickly, price your asset correctly and get what you can for it. The market has changed, banks and developers are price takers. Liquid buyers have much more control. Those that will survive and succeed are those that can quickly find a source, or sources, of liquid buyers for their commercial real estate assets.
For more information contact Chris at christofer.pacheco@gmail.com .



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